Match Info

Premiership - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Global Energy Stadium (Dingwall)

Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hungary	Net4+
Nigeria	Red TV
United-kingdom	RedTV, Ross County TV


	Ross County		Aberdeen

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.2
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.79	3.52	1.99	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.3
	3.79	3.54	1.98	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.18)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	2.06 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ross County
26.6%

Draw
27.5%

Aberdeen
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.8%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ross County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ross County - Aberdeen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ross County will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ross County: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Aberdeen (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Ross County (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ross County (votes: 1 - 50%). Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Amissah J. (G) 12. Tomkinson J. 20. Lopata K. 19. Campbell E. 4. Wright A. 8. Randall C. 42. Kenneh N. 2. Brown J. 26. White J. 14. Grieves J. 11. Phillips K.	31. Doohan R. (G) 28. Jensen A. 26. Dorrington A. 5. Knoester M. 4. Shinnie G. (C) 81. Keskinen T. 18. Palaversa A. 14. Gueye P. 10. Clarkson L. 20. Morris S. 9. Nisbet K.
Substitutes
6. Allardice S. 15. Ashworth Z. 9. Hale R. 16. Harmon G. 1. Laidlaw R. (G) 35. Nightingale W. 23. Nisbet J. 34. Robesten G. 30. Smith D.	32. Ambrose P. 11. Dabbagh O. 2. Devlin N. 3. MacKenzie J. 22. Milne J. 16. Okkels J. 8. Polvara D. 25. Ritchie T. (G) 19. Sokler E.
Coaches
Cowie D.	Thelin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Shinnie G. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Morris S. ⚽, Nisbet K. (A),
45+2', Nisbet K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Wright A. 🟨,
63', Grieves J. ↓, Robesten G. ↑,
68', Morris S. ↓, Okkels J. ↑,
71', Palaversa A. 🟨,
74', Brown J. ↓, Hale R. ↑,
81', Gueye P. ↓, Dabbagh O. ↑,
81', Keskinen T. ↓, Sokler E. ↑,
84', Kenneh N. ↓, Nisbet J. ↑,
84', Lopata K. ↓, Smith D. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

Aberdeen is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ross County won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Aberdeen will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ross County: Efete M. (Injury) Leak R. (Injury) Nightingale W. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Aberdeen: McGrath J. (Shoulder Injury) Mitov D. (Injury) Molloy G. (Shoulder Injury) Nilsen S. (Injury) Tobers K. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ross County won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 19:36 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ross County won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:22 (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ross County
Scottish Premier League
30.03.25	Ross County - Dundee United	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Hearts - Ross County	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Ross County - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	St. Johnstone - Ross County	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Ross County - Dundee	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWLW
- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
29.03.25	Aberdeen - Motherwell	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	St. Johnstone - Aberdeen	0:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.03.25	Aberdeen - Queens Park	4:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
02.03.25	Aberdeen - Dundee United	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	Celtic - Aberdeen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
02.01.25	Aberdeen - Ross County	1:2
31.08.24	Ross County - Aberdeen	0:1
19.05.24	Ross County - Aberdeen	2:2
30.03.24	Aberdeen - Ross County	2:1
02.01.24	Ross County - Aberdeen	0:3
Scottish League Cup
27.09.23	Ross County - Aberdeen	1:2
Scottish Premier League
24.09.23	Aberdeen - Ross County	4:0

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