Match Info

SCOTLAND: Premiership - Round 30

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: McDiarmid Park (Perth)

Referee: Graham C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hungary	Net4+
Nigeria	Red TV
United-kingdom	RedTV, Saints TV


	St. Johnstone		Aberdeen

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.87	3.3	2.35
	3.1	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.09	3.3	2.42
	3.14	3.44	2.27	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.12	3.42	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.28)	3.36 ↓ (3.52)	2.3 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johnstone
30.7%

Draw
28.2%

Aberdeen
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.7%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

26.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	9.1%	54.5%

St. Johnstone - Aberdeen Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aberdeen: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Balodis D. 5. Mitchell Z. 30. Douglas B. 37. Curtis S. 23. Sprangler S. 7. Holt J. 21. Duke-McKenna S. 16. Sidibeh A. 14. Wright D. 27. Kirk M.	1. Mitov D. (G) 28. Jensen A. 26. Dorrington A. 5. Knoester M. 3. MacKenzie J. 20. Morris S. 4. Shinnie G. 9. Nisbet K. 18. Palaversa A. 81. Keskinen T. 11. Dabbagh O.
Substitutes
11. Carey G. 10. Clark N. 6. Griffith V. 29. Kimpioka B. 24. McPake J. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 19. Steven T. 8. Svedberg J. 44. Watt E.	30. Boyd F. 10. Clarkson L. 2. Devlin N. 31. Doohan R. (G) 14. Gueye P. 22. Milne J. 16. Okkels J. 8. Polvara D. 19. Sokler E.
Coaches
Valakari S.	Thelin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Sidibeh A. ↓, Griffith V. ↑,
62', Morris S. ↓, Clarkson L. ↑,
63', MacKenzie J. ↓, Okkels J. ↑,
68', Dabbagh O. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
71', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
72', Kirk M. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
82', Keskinen T. ↓, Sokler E. ↑,
87', Douglas B. ↓, Steven T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Johnstone won 1.

Recent matches St. Johnstone is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aberdeen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in St. Johnstone: Ikpeazu U. (Injury) McClelland S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mikulic B. (Injury)

There will not play in Aberdeen: Besuijen V. (Injury) Molloy G. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in St. Johnstone: Griffith V. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches St. Johnstone won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12:17 (average 0.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams St. Johnstone won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Cup
10.03.25	Livingston - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
01.03.25	Dundee - St. Johnstone	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	St. Johnstone - Ross County	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	St. Johnstone - Hearts	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWLL
- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Cup
08.03.25	Aberdeen - Queens Park	4:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
02.03.25	Aberdeen - Dundee United	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	Celtic - Aberdeen	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Aberdeen - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Dundee - Aberdeen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
07.12.24	Aberdeen - St. Johnstone	1:1
05.08.24	St. Johnstone - Aberdeen	1:2
04.05.24	Aberdeen - St. Johnstone	1:0
28.02.24	Aberdeen - St. Johnstone	0:2
24.01.24	St. Johnstone - Aberdeen	1:1
08.10.23	Aberdeen - St. Johnstone	0:0
01.04.23	St. Johnstone - Aberdeen	0:1

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