Match Info

3. Liga - Round 6

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.85
	1.96	3.42	3.67	Watch
	1.89	3.66	3.77	Watch
	1.96	3.55	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.97)	3.57 ↑ (3.55)	3.7 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
48.8%

Draw
26%

Osnabrück
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

26.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	23.1%	0%

Rot Weiß Essen - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rot-Weiß Essen: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rot-Weiß Essen will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (G) 2. Kostka M. 4. Schultz M. (C) 23. Rios Alonso J. 14. Brumme L. 8. Gjasula K. 28. Moustier T. 10. Obuz M. 6. Arslan A. 24. Mizuta K. 29. Mause J.	21. Jonsson L. (G) 4. Karademir Y. 24. Muller J. (C) 27. Fabinski R. 31. Kammerbauer P. 15. Jacobsen B. 6. Henning B. 3. Christensen F. 10. Proger K. 18. Kehl L. 11. Meissner R.
Substitutes
32. Bazzoli L. 19. Bouebari F. 9. Cuber Potocnik J. 18. Kaiser N. 33. Kraulich T. 26. Musel T. 30. Owusu K. 7. Safi R. 35. Wienand F. (G)	37. Badjie I. 14. Ihorst L. 20. Janotta T. 22. Riesselmann B. 1. Sauter N. (G) 13. Schumacher K. 8. Tesche R. 26. Wagner F. 19. Wiethaup K.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Schultz T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Brumme L. ↓, Bouebari F. ↑,
51', Proger K. 🟨,
56', Muller J. 🟨,
61', Henning B. ↓, Wagner F. ↑,
61', Proger K. ↓, Wiethaup K. ↑,
65', Obuz M. ↓, Cuber Potocnik J. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Kehl L. (Pen),
66', Mause J. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Moustier T. ⚽,
78', Meissner R. ↓, Ihorst L. ↑,
85', Mizuta K. ↓, Owusu K. ↑,
86', Christensen F. ↓, Schumacher K. ↑,
86', Kehl L. ↓, Badjie I. ↑,
89', Arslan A. ↓, Musel T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rot-Weiß Essen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rot-Weiß Essen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
12.09.25	Jahn Regensburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3 ✺
31.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Alemannia Aachen	2:3 ✺
22.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.25	TSV Havelse - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLT
- VfL Osnabrück
German 3 Bundesliga
14.09.25	Osnabrück - Hansa Rostock	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	TSV Havelse - Osnabrück	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Osnabrück - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	1860 München - Osnabrück	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Osnabrück - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
11.05.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Osnabrück	3:1
15.12.24	Osnabrück - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0
14.03.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Osnabrück	1:1
09.09.22	Osnabrück - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0

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