Match Info

3. Liga - Round 37

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Germany	Magenta Sport, WDR Fernsehen
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.8	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.8	2.55
	2.35	3.9	2.52	Watch
	2.36	4.11	2.68
	2.45	3.71	2.55	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.5
	2.28	3.72	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.47)	3.81 ↑ (3.55)	2.54 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
39.4%

Draw
24.3%

Verl
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.8%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

The chances for Verl have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Rot Weiß Essen - Verl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (G) 15. Huning B. 23. Rios Alonso J. 33. Kraulich T. 37. Hofmann J. 39. Swajkowski G. 26. Musel T. 14. Brumme L. 7. Safi R. 24. Mizuta K. 9. Cuber Potocnik J.	1. Schulze P. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 24. Stocker M. 19. Kijewski N. 10. Taz B. 6. Eze J. 28. Otto Y. 17. Mesanovic A. 9. Arweiler J. 11. Worner M.
Substitutes
20. Janssen M. 18. Kaiser N. 2. Kostka M. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 16. Reisig R. 22. Schmidt D. 4. Schultz M. 35. Wienand F. (G)	29. Bamba E. 13. Japaur A. 21. Knost T. 32. Pekruhl F. (G) 7. Stark J. 18. Wessig F.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Strobl T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Swajkowski G. 🟨,
20', Stocker M. 🟨,
39', Otto Y. 🟨,
42', Brumme L. ↓, Kostka M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Swajkowski G. ⚽,
64', Hofmann J. ↓, Kaiser N. ↑,
64', Swajkowski G. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
65', Eze J. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
73', Otto Y. ↓, Wessig F. ↑,
73', Mesanovic A. ↓, Japaur A. ↑,
78', Stark J. 🟨,
81', Musel T. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
81', Safi R. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
84', Stocker M. ↓, Bamba E. ↑,
84', Arweiler J. ↓, Knost T. ↑,
88', Mizuta K. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.4:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	RW Essen	8	4	3	1	16:12	4	15
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10:13	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Verl - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.26%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
02.05.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Rot-Weiß Essen	6:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Saarbrücken	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Energie Cottbus - Rot-Weiß Essen	5:3 ✺
11.04.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
07.04.26	Schweinfurt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
02.05.26	Verl - TSV Havelse	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Osnabrück - Verl	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Verl - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Verl	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Verl - Hansa Rostock	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0
28.03.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	3:0
23.10.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	1:3
10.03.24	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1
07.10.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	0:5
27.05.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	2:2
21.01.23	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1

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