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Current Win Probability
Borussia Dortmund 48.3%
Draw 25.2%
Juventus 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
24.9%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
24.4%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Dortmund's performance.
Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Borussia Dortmund - Juventus Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Juventus will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 15. Hummels M. (C) 3. Anton W. 5. Bensebaini R. 26. Ryerson J. 13. Gross P. 7. Bellingham J. 20. Sabitzer M. 24. Svensson D. 9. Guirassy S. 27. Adeyemi K.
29. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 6. Kelly L. 27. Cambiaso A. 19. Thuram K. 5. Locatelli M. 8. Koopmeiners T. 7. Conceicao F. 10. Yildiz K. 30. David J.
Substitutes
14. Beier M. 10. Brandt J. 37. Campbell C. 2. Couto Y. 30. Drewes P. (G) 28. Haller S. 42. Kabar A. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 8. Nmecha F. 6. Ozcan S. 25. Sule N.
17. Adzic V. 98. Arthur Melo 32. Cabal J. 33. Djalo T. 26. Douglas Luiz 99. Fuscaldo M. (G) 4. Gatti F. 41. Gil J. 11. Gonzalez N. 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 16. McKennie W. 20. Miretti F. 1. Perin M. (G) 48. Pietrelli A. 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 24. Rugani D. 9. Vlahovic D.
Coaches
Kovac N.
Tudor I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Joao Mario 🟨,
13', Conceicao F. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Cambiaso A. ⚽, Kalulu P. (A),
19', Hummels M. ↓, Sule N. ↑,
33', Gross P. 🟨,
45+1', Sule N. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bremer ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Cambiaso A. ⚽, Yildiz K. (A),
59', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
60', Gross P. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
60', Sabitzer M. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
60', Bellingham J. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
65', Conceicao F. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
65', Joao Mario ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
65', Yildiz K. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
65', Di Gregorio M. ↓, Pinsoglio C. ↑,
66', Kelly L. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,
66', Thuram K. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
66', David J. ↓, Vlahovic D. ↑,
66', Locatelli M. ↓, McKennie W. ↑,
67', Kalulu P. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
67', Cambiaso A. ↓, Djalo T. ↑,
71', Ryerson J. ↓, Mane F. ↑,
75', Guirassy S. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
82', Svensson D. ↓, Kabar A. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Beier M. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
Preview
Borussia D is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Juventus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Borussia D might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).