Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday


	Bayern Munich		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.75	7.00
	1.36	5.75	7.00
	1.32	5.80	7.00
	1.36	6.30	7.60
	1.34	6.10	6.90	Watch
	1.32	6.20	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 (1.34)	5.98 ↓ (6.1)	7.12 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Munich
70.8%

Draw
15.8%

Borussia Dortmund
13.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.7%

15.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

14.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 3.

Bayern has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Performances by Borussia D have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Borussia D has had a run of games away from home.

The betting markets point to Bayern as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bayern has recorded 14 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:28 (averaging 2.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bayern against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 24:10 goals (averaging 3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	22:5	17	14
2	Dortmund	6	4	2	0	11:4	7	14

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 81.69% Dortmund: 7.23%

Last Results with these Odds

Bayern Munich - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 70.73%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Bayern Munich - Arsenal	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	6:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Viking Stavanger - Bayern Munich	3:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWTTW
- Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League
20.10.26	Sabah - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Bodø Glimt - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
09.10.26	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Super Cup
22.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	1:2
German Bundesliga
28.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	2:3
18.10.25	Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
12.04.25	Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund	2:2
30.11.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	1:1
30.03.24	Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund	0:2
04.11.23	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	0:4

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