Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 27

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Rota		Gerena

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.53
	5.73	3.67	1.52
	7.1	4.25	1.41
	5.5	3.75	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.96 ↑ (5.05)	3.82 ↑ (3.51)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rota
15.3%

Draw
23.9%

Gerena
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

25.2%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

23.9%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rota than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Rota - Gerena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs)).

Rota has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gerena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gerena is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rota won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Rota won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Rota
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.03.23	Pozoblanco - Rota	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Rota - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Córdoba B - Rota	6:0 ✺
25.02.23	Rota - Puente Genil	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Espeleño - Rota	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL
- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.03.23	Gerena - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Ayamonte - Gerena	0:5 ✺
05.03.23	Gerena - Sevilla C	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Coria CF - Gerena	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Gerena - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
04.12.22	Gerena - Rota	3:0
27.03.22	Rota - Gerena	0:1
27.11.21	Gerena - Rota	0:1
23.02.20	Gerena - Rota	0:0

Rota - Gerena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide