Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 23

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Rota		Puente Genil

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.4	1.53
	5.8	3.3	1.48
	5.93	3.24	1.57
	6	3.3	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.87 ↑ (4.6)	3.31 ↑ (3.02)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rota
15.2%

Draw
27%

Puente Genil
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

29.6%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

28.7%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puente Genil's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rota than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puente Genil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rota - Puente Genil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs)).

Rota has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Puente Genil is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Puente Genil is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Puente Genil to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rota won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Rota won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Rota
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.02.23	Espeleño - Rota	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	Rota - Conil	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Bollullos - Rota	3:0 ✺
29.01.23	Rota - Antoniano	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Cartaya - Rota	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
21.02.23	Puente Genil - Ceuta B	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Ayamonte - Puente Genil	1:4 ✺
05.02.23	Puente Genil - Sevilla C	1:3 ✺
29.01.23	Coria CF - Puente Genil	0:3 ✺
22.01.23	Puente Genil - Gerena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
30.10.22	Puente Genil - Rota	2:0
09.04.22	Rota - Puente Genil	1:1
08.12.21	Puente Genil - Rota	3:0
28.02.20	Rota - Puente Genil	1:1
13.10.19	Puente Genil - Rota	5:1

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