Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)


	Rotherham United		Cheltenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.41	4.8	7.25
	1.4	4.75	7	Watch
	1.41	4.7	6.89
	1.42	4.51	7.19	Watch
	1.4	4.75	8
	1.41	4.8	7.4	Watch
	1.4	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)	4.7 ↓ (4.77)	7.28 ↓ (7.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
67%

Draw
20.1%

Cheltenham Town
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.7%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

19.2%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Rotherham United - Cheltenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Rotherham United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. 24. Humphreys C. 16. Jules Z. 3. Bramall C. 22. Odoffin H. 27. Tiehi C. 7. Powell J. 12. Wilks M. 10. Hugill J. (C) 23. Holmes J.	21. Day J. (G) 25. Stubbs S. 17. Bennett S. (C) 6. Bradbury T. 27. Payne L. 8. Young L. 4. Kinsella L. 16. Colwill J. 15. Thomas J. 10. Miller G. 22. Archer E.
Substitutes
39. Duncan H. 35. Hatton B. 21. Hungbo J. 6. James R. 4. Kelly L. 14. MacDonald A. 8. Nombe S. 20. Phillips D. (G) 5. Raggett S.	18. Bakare I. 12. Bowman R. 14. Dulson L. 2. Jude-Boyd A. 41. Mamadou Diallo 11. Norkett M. 34. Pett T. 19. Sohna H. 9. Taylor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', Kinsella L. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Colwill J. ⚽, Young L. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Wilks M. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Colwill J. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
45', Tiehi C. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Powell J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 3, Archer E. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
60', Young L. 🟨,
69', Thomas J. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
69', Powell J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
70', Holmes J. ↓, MacDonald A. ↑,
70', Rafferty J. ↓, Hungbo J. ↑,
71', Odoffin H. 🟨,
74', Wilks M. ↓, Hatton B. ↑,
87', Colwill J. ↓, Pett T. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Rotherham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cheltenham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rotherham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rotherham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League One
26.10.24	Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Leyton Orient - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Rotherham United - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Peterborough United - Rotherham United	3:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Rotherham United - Newcastle United U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTW
- Cheltenham Town
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Cheltenham Town - West Ham United U21	3:1 ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Carlisle United - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Cheltenham Town - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Colchester United - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Cheltenham Town - Swindon Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.01.22	Rotherham United - Cheltenham Town	1:0
02.10.21	Cheltenham Town - Rotherham United	0:2
English League Two
16.03.13	Cheltenham Town - Rotherham United	3:0
17.11.12	Rotherham United - Cheltenham Town	4:2
09.04.12	Rotherham United - Cheltenham Town	N/A

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