The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 47.1%
Draw 26.6%
Cheltenham Town 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
26.9%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
27%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Carlisle United - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lewis H. (G) 24. Sadi D. 26. Barclay B. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 4. Thomas T. 3. Harper C. 12. Biggins H. 7. Robson E. 8. Guy C. 15. Charters T. 29. Armstrong L.
21. Day J. (G) 25. Stubbs S. 17. Bennett S. (C) 6. Bradbury T. 27. Payne L. 4. Kinsella L. 8. Young L. 19. Sohna H. 15. Thomas J. 22. Archer E. 10. Miller G.
Substitutes
13. Breeze G. (G) 37. Burey T. 6. Hayden A. 22. Mellish J. 17. Neal H. 16. Vela J. 10. Wyke Ch.
18. Bakare I. 12. Bowman R. 16. Colwill J. 14. Dulson L. 11. Norkett M. 34. Pett T. 9. Taylor M.
Coaches
Williamson M.
Flynn M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Archer E. ⚽, Sohna H. (A),
29', Stubbs S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Robson E. 🟨,
46', Charters T. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
55', Young L. 🟨,
60', Robson E. ↓, Neal H. ↑,
60', Wyke Ch. ↓, Burey T. ↑,
60', Barclay B. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
69', Neal H. 🟨,
73', Young L. ↓, Pett T. ↑,
82', Mellish J. 🟨,
83', Sadi D. 🟨,
84', Sohna H. ↓, Bakare I. ↑,
88', Thomas J. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
89', Miller G. ↓, Bowman R. ↑,
90', Payne L. 🟨,
90+6', Guy C. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1.
Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Cheltenham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carlisle will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:9 (average 0.9:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).