The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 46.5%
Draw 26.7%
Cheltenham Town 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
25.8%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
25.8%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Colchester United - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 20. Raggett S. 3. Iandolo E. 12. Sesay M. 26. Williams J. 27. Thorn O. 10. Payne J. 7. Anderson H. 14. Kouassi K.
23. Stanway W. (G) 3. Tomkinson J. 5. Cundy R. 25. Sweeney P. 4. Tomlinson J. 17. McWilliams S. 7. Stevenson B. (C) 19. Evans J. 8. McCann C. 26. Shipley J. 18. Weimann A.
Substitutes
11. Chiwome L. 6. Digby P. 9. Ihionvien B. 44. Kuffour S. 1. Smith T. (G) 24. Terry F. 17. Williams J.
14. Broom R. 1. Day J. (G) 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G. 9. Otchere K. 33. Willcox F. 6. Wilson J.
Coaches
Cowley D.
Cotterill S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', McWilliams S. 🟨,
18', Evans J. 🟨,
28', Thorn O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 0, Sesay M. ⚽, Iandolo E. (A),
69', Thorn O. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
74', McWilliams S. ↓, Willcox F. ↑,
74', Evans J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
76', Anderson H. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Weimann A. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Williams J. 🟥,
84', Iandolo E. 🟨,
85', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
89', Weimann A. ↓, Otchere K. ↑,
89', Anderson H. ↓, Chiwome L. ↑,
90+2', McCann C. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 4th in the Promotion ~ League Two PlayoffsSemi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Colchester holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Colchester: Perry B.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Cheltenham: Onukwuli F.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
Leake J.
(Inactive).
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Colchester has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:20 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colchester against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Colchester: 3.25% Cheltenham: 2.39%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Cheltenham
9
4
3
2
16:14
2
15
19
Colchester
8
2
4
2
10:12
-2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Cheltenham Town - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25.47%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Lo-Tutala T. (G) 
Hunt R. 
Williams J. 
Tomkinson J. 
Sweeney P. 
McCann C. 
Weimann A. 
Broom R. 
Otchere K. 
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