The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rotherham United 24.6%
Draw 30.4%
Stevenage Borough 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
30.3%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
29.4%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
10%
60%
Rotherham United - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 29.6% โ 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Cann T. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 18. Agbaire L. 3. Jules Z. 6. James R. 44. Gore D. 4. Kelly L. 23. Holmes J. 20. Watmore D. 24. Gray H. 10. Nombe S.
1. Marschall F. (G) 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 16. Freestone L. 2. James-Wildin L. 23. Thompson L. 18. White H. 11. Roberts J. 8. Phillips D. 25. Phillips M. 19. Reid J.
Substitutes
41. Ayres J. 15. Baptiste J. 19. Benson J. 29. Biancheri G. 28. Cover B. 11. Martha A.
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 40. Brown L. 4. Houghton J. 10. Kemp D. 30. Lubala B. 17. Pattenden J. 6. Sweeney D.
Coaches
Clark L.
Revell A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Phillips D. 🟨,
16', James-Wildin L. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,
45+3', Freestone L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Gore D. 🟨,
55', Holmes J. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
62', James R. 🟨,
67', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
67', Phillips D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
75', Agbaire L. ↓, Baptiste J. ↑,
81', Roberts J. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
88', Gore D. 🟨,
90+1', Watmore D. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
90+1', Goode C. 🟨,
90+4', White H. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3.
Rotherham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Stevenage has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Stevenage will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H.
(Injury)
Hall D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hugill J.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Injury)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Spence K.
(Knee Injury)
Yearwood D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Ankle Injury)
Simpson T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Rotherham: McWilliams S.
(Inactive)
Powell J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Earley S.
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
Outrights of English League One for now
Stevenage: 1.24%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Stevenage
8
3
3
2
12:8
4
12
Last Results with these Odds
Rotherham United - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.57%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.