Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Rotherham United		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.4
	2.78	3.35	2.42
	2.74	3.53	2.41	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.4
	2.83	3.28	2.44	Watch
	2.83	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.41 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
33.4%

Draw
27.9%

Peterborough United
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

27.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Rotherham United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Rotherham United - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Peterborough will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 15. Baptiste J. 3. Jules Z. 16. Yearwood D. 22. Hall D. 17. McWilliams S. 7. Powell J. 6. James R. 9. Hugill J. 29. Etete K.	1. Bass A. (G) 30. Kioso P. 12. Lees T. 29. O'Connor T. 2. Johnston C. (C) 4. Collins A. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 11. Frith D. 28. Garbett M. 17. Lisbie K. 19. Lindgren G.
Substitutes
18. Agbaire L. 41. Ayres J. 13. Cann T. (G) 23. Holmes J. 4. Kelly L. 11. Martha A. 5. Raggett S.	33. Dornelly J. 18. Hayes C. 8. Khela B. 27. Leonard H. 15. Nevett G. 21. Reyes V. (G) 16. Woods B.
Coaches
Hamshaw M.	Williams L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Hugill J. 🟨,
45+1', Johnston C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', James R. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
53', Etete K. ↓, Ayres J. ↑,
55', Jules Z. 🟨,
58', Yearwood D. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Rafferty J. (Own goal),
66', Yearwood D. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
66', Rafferty J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
71', Lindgren G. ↓, Leonard H. ↑,
71', O'Brien-Brady D. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
72', McWilliams S. 🟨,
73', 0 - 2, Khela B. ⚽,
77', Garbett M. ↓, Woods B. ↑,
77', Lisbie K. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
79', Hall D. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,
84', Kioso P. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,
90+4', Ayres J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.

Rotherham has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Peterborough is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Rotherham: Baptiste J. (Red Card) Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Spence K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Inactive) Mills H. (Inactive) Nevett G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Rotherham: Agbaire L. (Inactive) Benson J. (Injury) Sherif M. (Inactive)

We predict that Peterborough will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of English League One for now

Peterborough: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
23	Peterborough	8	1	2	5	4:13	-9	5

Last Results with these Odds

Peterborough United - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.3%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League One
29.12.25	Blackpool - Rotherham United	4:0 ✺
26.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Rotherham United - Huddersfield Town	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Rotherham United - Blackpool	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Peterborough United
English League One
29.12.25	Peterborough United - Reading	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Peterborough United - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Port Vale - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Reading - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
03.05.25	Rotherham United - Peterborough United	2:1
12.10.24	Peterborough United - Rotherham United	3:3
25.01.20	Peterborough United - Rotherham United	2:1
29.12.19	Rotherham United - Peterborough United	4:0
30.03.18	Rotherham United - Peterborough United	1:1
19.08.17	Peterborough United - Rotherham United	2:1
22.03.14	Peterborough United - Rotherham United	0:1

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