Match Info

League One - Round 20

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Plymouth Argyle		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.16	3.26	3.69
	2.13	3.26	3.48	Watch
	2.15	3	3.5
	2.12	3.28	3.43	Watch
	2.12	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)	3.21 ↓ (3.44)	3.49 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
44.1%

Draw
29.1%

Rotherham United
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	13.3%	40%

Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Rotherham will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rotherham (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 1 - 50%). Rotherham (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hazard C. (G) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 15. Mitchell A. 22. Galloway B. 8. Edwards J. (C) 19. Boateng M. 32. Ralls J. 29. Sorinola M. 35. Dale O. 11. Mumba B. 18. Oseni O.	1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 12. Holmes T. 15. Baptiste J. 22. Hall D. 16. Yearwood D. 8. Spence K. 44. Gore D. 7. Powell J. 11. Martha A. 9. Hugill J.
Substitutes
10. Amaechi X. 21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 14. Benarous A. 7. Paterson J. 2. Ross M. 6. Szucs K. 4. Wiredu B.	41. Ayres J. 13. Cann T. (G) 26. Douglas H. 23. Holmes J. 14. Kaleta M. 4. Kelly L. 5. Raggett S.
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Hamshaw M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Spence K. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Ralls J. ⚽, Dale O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yearwood D. ↓, Kaleta M. ↑,
55', Pleguezuelo J. 🟨,
62', Rafferty J. ↓, Ayres J. ↑,
65', Ralls J. 🟨,
66', Edwards J. 🟨,
69', Edwards J. ↓, Szucs K. ↑,
74', Gore D. 🟨,
78', Sorinola M. ↓, Benarous A. ↑,
87', Mumba B. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
87', Dale O. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
90+3', Spence K. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,
90+6', Martha A. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Plymouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Plymouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Plymouth: MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Pepple A. (Injury) Tolaj L. (Red Card) Watts C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Rotherham: Agbaire L. (Inactive) Etete K. (Injury) Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Plymouth: Benarous A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rotherham: Jules Z. (Inactive) Nombe S. (Muscle Injury) Sherif M. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Rotherham United - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.72%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
09.12.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Plymouth Argyle - Northampton Town	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WLWLW
- Rotherham United
English League One
10.12.25	Rotherham United - Blackpool	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Salford City - Rotherham United	2:7 ✺
English League One
29.11.25	Rotherham United - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Reading - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Luton Town - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.04.24	Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle	0:1
16.12.23	Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United	3:2
English League One
26.02.22	Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United	0:1
07.08.21	Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle	2:0
28.04.18	Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United	2:1
16.12.17	Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
English League Two
20.04.13	Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United	0:1

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