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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 39.8%
Draw 27.6%
Peterborough United 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
27.6%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
26.9%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
22.2%
33.3%
Port Vale - Peterborough United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Peterborough will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Peterborough (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Amos B. (G) 2. Clark M. 4. Heneghan B. 5. Hall C. (C) 3. Headley J. 33. Hall G. 12. Walters R. 18. Croasdale R. 19. Waine B. 44. Cole D. 17. Paton R.
1. Bass A. (G) 26. Okagbue D. 12. Lees T. (C) 33. Dornelly J. 28. Garbett M. 16. Woods B. 4. Collins A. 17. Lisbie K. 40. Mendy J. 24. Morgan J. 27. Leonard H.
Substitutes
11. Curtis R. 22. Debrah J. 36. Faal M. 46. Gauci J. (G) 30. Lomax B. 26. Shipley J. 9. Stockley J.
11. Frith D. 18. Hayes C. 2. Johnston C. 19. Lindgren G. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 29. O'Connor T. 21. Reyes V. (G)
Coaches
Moore D.
Williams L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Hall C. ↓, Debrah J. ↑,
36', Headley J. 🟨,
41', Mendy J. ↓, Johnston C. ↑,
45+4', Morgan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Waine B. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
61', Morgan J. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
71', Lees T. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
72', Garbett M. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
76', Heneghan B. 🟨,
79', Clark M. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Leonard H. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
87', Cole D. 🟨,
90+6', Leonard H. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Port Vale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Neck Injury)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Hayes C.
(Knee Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nevett G.
(Inactive)
O'Connor T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Johnson M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Peterborough: Mendy J.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Peterborough United - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.48%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Amos B. (G) 
Clark M. 
Waine B. 
Paton R. 
Mendy J. 
Gauci J. (G) 
Johnston C. 
Lindgren G. 
Reyes V. (G) 
Moore D. 
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