Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Stockport County		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.5
	2.58	3.35	2.58	Watch
	2.74	3.55	2.54
	1.41	4.18	8.28	Watch
	2.62	3.46	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.59)	3.59 ↑ (3.49)	3.51 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
42.3%

Draw
28.5%

Cardiff City
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

26.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

26.8%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stockport County's performance.

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Stockport County - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cardiff will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Cardiff (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Addai C. (G) 24. Onyango T. 5. Olowu J. 15. Pye E. 33. Hills B. 27. Bailey O. 26. Norwood O. (C) 23. Osborn B. 22. Andresson B. 19. Wootton K. 7. Diamond J.	13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 2. Fish W. 27. Colwill J. 12. Chambers C. (C) 10. Colwill R. 16. Willock C. 45. Ashford C. 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
8. Camps C. 16. Connolly C. 1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 9. Lowe N. 11. Mothersille M. 21. Moxon O. 2. O'Keeffe C.	39. Davies I. 44. Kpakio R. 48. Lawlor D. 4. Osho G. 47. Robinson C. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Challinor D.	Barry-Murphy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Norwood O. (Pen),
40', Ng P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Ashford C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
63', Colwill J. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
72', Ng P. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
72', Wintle R. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
72', Chambers C. ↓, Lawlor D. ↑,
73', Bailey O. ↓, Camps C. ↑,
73', Andresson B. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
81', Onyango T. ↓, O'Keeffe C. ↑,
90', Diamond J. ↓, Connolly C. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽, Willock C. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

In recent matches, Stockport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cardiff is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Cardiff: Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Robertson A. (Inactive) Tanner O. (Injury) Turnbull D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stockport: Bate L. (Injury) Camps C. (Injury) Edun T. (Ankle Injury) Hoskonen A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League One
06.09.25	Plymouth Argyle - Stockport County	4:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Stockport County - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	5:3 ✺
English League One
30.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
English League One
23.08.25	Stockport County - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWTLW
- Cardiff City
English League One
30.08.25	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Cardiff City - Cheltenham Town	3:0 ✺
English League One
23.08.25	Luton Town - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Cardiff City - Rotherham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

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