Match Info

League One - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Wigan Athletic		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.71
	3.10	3.60	2.10
	4.1	3.6	1.78
	4.1	4.1	1.84
	3.48	3.57	2.01	Watch
	4	4.05	1.79
	4.24	3.74	1.77	Watch
	4.2	3.85	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.24)	3.78 ↑ (3.38)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
24%

Draw
25%

Stockport County
51%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.5%

27.3%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

26.8%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Wigan Athletic - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Whitworth J. (G) 23. Carragher J. 5. Burns F. 3. Fox M. 16. Harris A. 18. Gray C. 8. Power M. (C) 2. Barrett C. 6. Weir J. 10. Walsh R. 11. Costelloe D.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 24. Gordon K. 6. O'Connell E. 5. Pye E. 15. Glover R. 4. Bate L. 10. Norwood O. (C) 23. Osborn B. 7. Diamond J. 19. Wootton K. 16. Wood H.
Substitutes
27. Burrowes B. 4. Chilokoa-Mullen J. 22. Mellish J. 7. Murray F. 9. Perkins S. 19. Sze C. 1. Walsh J. (G)	20. Adigun J. 9. Andresson B. 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 30. Ennis E. 18. Fiorini L. 25. Jobe M. 22. Mandron M.
Coaches
Caldwell G.	McNulty J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Wootton K. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Wood H. ⚽, Diamond J. (A),
21', 0 - 3, Diamond J. ⚽, Bate L. (A),
27', Barrett C. 🟨,
31', Carragher J. 🟨,
35', Gordon K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gray C. ↓, Sze C. ↑,
46', Barrett C. ↓, Murray F. ↑,
46', Walsh R. ↓, Burrowes B. ↑,
63', Wood H. ↓, Adigun J. ↑,
63', Norwood O. ↓, Fiorini L. ↑,
69', Burns F. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
69', Costelloe D. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
71', Wootton K. ↓, Mandron M. ↑,
71', Osborn B. ↓, Dacres-Cogley J. ↑,
79', Diamond J. ↓, Jobe M. ↑,
90', 0 - 4, Glover R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Stockport might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Wigan: Saydee C. (Inactive) Trevitt R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wigan: Higgins A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stockport: Hills B. (Knee Injury) Rydel R. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stockport County	9	5	1	3	20:11	9	16
24	Wigan	8	1	1	6	5:13	-8	4

Outrights of English League One for now

Stockport County: 13.52% Wigan: 0.57%

Last Results with these Odds

Wigan Athletic - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.49%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Stockport County - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.23%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
02.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Wigan Athletic - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Wigan Athletic - Aston Villa U21	3:2 ✺
English League One
15.08.26	Cambridge United - Wigan Athletic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL
- Stockport County
English League One
02.09.26	Luton Town - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Stockport County - Wycombe Wanderers	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Stockport County - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Stockport County - Everton U21	6:3 ✺
English League One
15.08.26	Plymouth Argyle - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.02.26	Stockport County - Wigan Athletic	4:2
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Stockport County - Wigan Athletic	2:1 penalties
English League One
30.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	1:1
English League Cup
26.08.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	1:0
English League One
15.02.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	0:2
05.10.24	Stockport County - Wigan Athletic	0:0
English EFL Trophy
06.12.23	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	2:0

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