Match Info

League One - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Oakwell (Barnsley)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Barnsley		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.55	Watch
	1.87	3.81	3.99
	1.82	3.85	3.62	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.84)	3.74 ↓ (3.83)	3.74 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
50.1%

Draw
24.9%

Rotherham United
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

24.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Barnsley - Rotherham United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnsley will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cooper M. (G) 5. Shepherd J. 6. de Gevigney M. 4. Roberts M. 14. Ogbeta N. 22. Kelly P. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 19. Cleary R. 30. Bland J. 48. Connell L. (C) 10. McGoldrick D.	1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. 3. Jules Z. 15. Baptiste J. 11. Martha A. 17. McWilliams S. 8. Spence K. 44. Gore D. 7. Powell J. 19. Benson J. 9. Hugill J.
Substitutes
23. Farrugia N. 51. Flavell K. (G) 18. Rooney J. 3. Russell J. 7. Vickers C. 27. Watson T. 45. Yoganathan V.	13. Cann T. (G) 22. Hall D. 6. James R. 4. Kelly L. 10. Nombe S. 5. Raggett S. 16. Yearwood D.
Coaches
Hourihane C.	Hamshaw M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Roberts M. 🟨,
45+2', Shepherd J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Benson J. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
53', Rafferty J. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
55', Kelly P. 🟨,
63', Connell L. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Spence K. ⚽,
70', Bland J. ↓, Vickers C. ↑,
71', de Gevigney M. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
79', Hugill J. ↓, James R. ↑,
79', Kelly P. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
90', McWilliams S. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 5.

Barnsley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rotherham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Barnsley is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rotherham: Etete K. (Injury) Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Holmes T. (Knee Injury) Kaleta M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rotherham: Agbaire L. (International duty) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Barnsley - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.73%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English EFL Trophy
21.10.25	Barnsley - Manchester United U21	5:2 ✺
English League One
18.10.25	Bradford City - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Notts County - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
English League One
27.09.25	Barnsley - Port Vale	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTLL
- Rotherham United
English League One
18.10.25	Rotherham United - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Northampton Town - Rotherham United	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Rotherham United - Oldham Athletic	3:2 ✺
English League One
02.10.25	Rotherham United - Bradford City	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Mansfield Town - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
26.08.25	Barnsley - Rotherham United	2:1
English League One
22.02.25	Rotherham United - Barnsley	0:1
08.11.24	Barnsley - Rotherham United	2:0
English League Championship
24.04.21	Barnsley - Rotherham United	1:0
29.12.20	Rotherham United - Barnsley	1:2
Club Friendly
29.07.17	Rotherham United - Barnsley	4:0
English League Championship
28.01.17	Rotherham United - Barnsley	0:1

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