Match Info

Date: 17 March 2021, Wednesday


	Rotor		Rostov

	1	X	2
	4.1	3	2.05	Watch
	4	2.9	2.1	Watch
	3.85	3	2.05
	3.95	3	2.04
	3.89	3.18	2.19
	3.9	3	2.1
	4.08	3.16	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.35)	3.03 ↑ (2.95)	2.1 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotor
23.9%

Draw
31.2%

Rostov
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

32%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

20.1%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rostov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rostov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	31%	44.8%

Rotor - Rostov Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Rotor will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Rostov will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rostov: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 9).

Rotor has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rostov has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Rotor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rostov is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Rotor have a series of guest games.

Rostov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rotor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotor Volgograd
Russian Premier League
13.03.21	Ural - Rotor	1:0 ✺
06.03.21	Rotor - Khimki	0:0 ✺
26.02.21	Tambov - Rotor	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.21	Rubin Kazan - Rotor	Canceled
18.02.21	Rubin Kazan - Rotor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTW?L
- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
12.03.21	Khimki - Rostov	1:0 ✺
06.03.21	Rostov - Sochi	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Zenit - Rostov	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
21.02.21	Rostov - Akhmat Grozny	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
19.09.20	Rostov - Rotor	FK Rostov awarded
Russian Cup
26.03.14	Rostov - Rotor	3:0

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