Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 5


	Rostov		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.45	6.78
	1.49	4.57	7.06	Watch
	1.41	4.1	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	4.37 ↑ (4.1)	7.41 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
65.2%

Draw
21.9%

Sochi
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

22.7%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

14.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-22.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rostov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Rostov - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hankic H. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 78. Chistyakov D. 22. Semenchuk D. 7. Ronaldo 10. Shchetinin K. 8. Mironov A. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 40. Vakhania I. 69. Golenkov E. 99. Suleymanov T.	35. Degtev A. (G) 3. Soldatenkov A. 33. Marcelo Alves 4. Litvinov V. 27. Zaika K. (C) 20. Vasiljev D. 19. Kovalenko A. 17. Makarchuk A. 29. Ezhov R. 98. Iljin V. 8. Ignatov M.
Substitutes
19. Bayramyan K. 34. El Askalany E. 67. Ignatov G. 62. Komarov I. 87. Langovich A. 9. Mohebi M. 71. Odoevski D. (G) 5. Prokhin D. 3. Sako O. 91. Shamonin A. 58. Shantaliy D. 57. Zhbanov I.	59. Bart R. 99. Dyupin Y. (G) 9. Fedorov Z. 45. Kamano F. 18. Korneev A. 14. Kravtsov K. 28. Magal R. 11. Meleshin P. 16. Mukhin M. 60. Nosatiy M. 85. Silev D. (G) 82. Volkov S.
Coaches
Alba J.	Osinkin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Litvinov V. 🟨,
21', Zaika K. 🟨,
42', Iljin V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Marcelo Alves 🟨,
64', Kuchaev K. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
71', Ignatov M. ↓, Kravtsov K. ↑,
71', Vasiljev D. ↓, Magal R. ↑,
71', Ezhov R. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
75', Iljin V. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
76', Semenchuk D. ↓, Sako O. ↑,
76', Suleymanov T. ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
84', Ronaldo ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Zaika K. ⚽, Magal R. (A),
90+3', Kovalenko A. ↓, Volkov S. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.

Rostov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sochi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rostov is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Rostov: Yatimov R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sochi: Chirkov M. (Inactive) Furtado G. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Rostov: Semenchuk D. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

FK Rostov: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	FK Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
12.04.26	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Rostov - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLLT
- FC Sochi
Russian Premier League
12.04.26	CSKA Moscow - Sochi	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Sochi - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sochi - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
08.11.25	Sochi - Rostov	0:1
06.04.24	Rostov - Sochi	2:2
19.08.23	Sochi - Rostov	4:0
14.05.23	Sochi - Rostov	1:0
Club Friendly
06.02.23	Sochi - Rostov	3:0
Russian Premier League
20.08.22	Rostov - Sochi	2:2
07.03.22	Rostov - Sochi	0:1

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