Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: RZD Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Cheban S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.65	4.5
	1.8	3.95	4.82	Watch
	1.68	3.65	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.68)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)	4.74 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
54.1%

Draw
25.6%

Rostov
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Lokomotiv (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Moscow will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitryushkin A. (G) 24. Nenakhov M. 85. Morozov E. 23. Montes C. 45. Silyanov A. 6. Barinov D. (C) 93. Karpukas A. 7. Bakaev Z. 83. Batrakov A. 19. Rudenko A. 10. Vorobyev D.	1. Yatimov R. (G) 40. Vakhania I. 3. Sako O. 4. Melekhin V. 7. Ronaldo 10. Shchetinin K. 58. Shantaliy D. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 62. Komarov I. 99. Suleymanov T. 9. Mohebi M.
Substitutes
90. Godyaev D. 27. Komlichenko N. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 3. Lucas Fasson 99. Myalkovskiy R. 5. Nyamsi G. 59. Pogostnov E. 2. Ramirez C. 14. Saltykov N. 8. Sarveli V. 94. Timofeev A. 16. Veselov D. (G)	17. Ajasa I. M. 78. Chistyakov D. 69. Golenkov E. 13. Hankic H. (G) 87. Langovich A. 8. Mironov A. 5. Prokhin D. 22. Semenchuk D. 91. Shamonin A. 6. Tarasov A. 57. Zhbanov I.
Coaches
Galaktionov M.	Alba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Batrakov A. ⚽, Bakaev Z. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
40', Komarov I. ↓, Zhbanov I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Shantaliy D. ↓, Semenchuk D. ↑,
46', Vakhania I. ↓, Mironov A. ↑,
46', Rudenko A. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
52', Ramirez C. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Mohebi M. (Pen),
65', 2 - 2, Suleymanov T. ⚽, Zhbanov I. (A),
66', Bakaev Z. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
67', Vorobyev D. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
76', Karpukas A. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Silyanov A. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
87', Shchetinin K. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
90+4', Nenakhov M. ↓, Lucas Fasson ↑,
90+8', 3 - 3, Ronaldo ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.

Lokomotiv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rostov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Lokomotiv is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:28. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Moscow - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.46%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
16.08.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
13.08.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
09.08.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Moscow	4:2 ✺
02.08.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:3 ✺
Russian Cup
30.07.25	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWL
- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
17.08.25	Rubin Kazan - Rostov	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
14.08.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
10.08.25	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Rostov - Krylya Sovetov	1:4 ✺
Russian Cup
30.07.25	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
30.04.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	0:2
Russian Premier League
26.04.25	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
23.10.24	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:3 penalties
Russian Premier League
25.08.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	3:2
Russian Cup
30.07.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	1:0
Russian Premier League
06.05.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	1:0
Club Friendly
24.02.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov	3:1

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