Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Bosuilstadion (Antwerp)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Royal Antwerp		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2
	2.25	3.25	3.3
	2.25	3.15	3.35
	2.27	3.2	3.2
	2.27	3.36	3.4
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.18	3.34	3.34
	2.25	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)	3.26 ↑ (3.21)	3.31 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royal Antwerp
42.5%

Draw
28.9%

AEK Athens
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royal Antwerp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Antwerp than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	7.1%	17.9%

Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Antwerp will win (votes: 42 - 75%). AEK will win (votes: 10 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antwerp: 63.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Butez J. (G) 34. Bataille J. 23. Alderweireld T. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 2. De Laet R. 27. Keita M. 24. Ekkelenkamp J. 48. Vermeeren A. 17. Ondrejka J. 18. Janssen V. 10. Balikwisha M.	30. Athanasiadis G. (G) 29. Sidibe D. 21. Vida D. 2. Moukoudi H. 28. Hajsafi E. 13. Pineda O. 4. Szymanski D. (C) 5. Amrabat N. 10. Zuber S. 8. Gacinovic M. 7. Garcia L.
Substitutes
81. Devalckeneer N. (G) 19. Ejuke C. 9. Ilenikhena G. 7. Kerk G. 91. Lammens S. (G) 11. Muja A. 30. Scott C. 55. Valencia A. 33. Van Den Bosch Z. 21. Vines S. 8. Yusuf A.	11. Araujo S. 19. Eliasson N. 25. Galanopoulos K. 39. Ginis P. (G) 6. Jonsson J. 20. Mantalos P. 24. Mitoglou G. 3. Mohammadi M. 70. Pizarro R. 14. Ponce E. 12. Rota L. 1. Stankovic C. (G)
Coaches
van Bommel M.	Almeyda M.

Preview

1st leg.

Antwerp is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AEK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Antwerp could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Antwerp will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Antwerp: Corbanie K. (Surgery) Verhulst D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in AEK: Fernandes P. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Antwerp: De Wolf O. (Finger Injury) Engels B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Antwerp won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Antwerp won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Antwerp FC
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.08.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Royal Antwerp	1:1 ✺
11.08.23	Royal Antwerp - Kortrijk	6:0 ✺
06.08.23	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
30.07.23	Royal Antwerp - Cercle Brugge	1:0 ✺
Belgian Super Cup
23.07.23	Royal Antwerp - KV Mechelen	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLWW
- AEK Athens
UEFA Champions League
19.08.23	AEK Athens - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
15.08.23	Dinamo Zagreb - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.23	Trabzonspor - AEK Athens	1:3 ✺
23.07.23	Volos - AEK Athens	0:3 ✺
13.07.23	AEK Athens - Shakhtar Donetsk	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.23	Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens	0:3
06.07.21	Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens	0:2

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