Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	MAX Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	Sport TV


	Dinamo Zagreb		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3.1
	2.4	3.15	3.05
	2.45	3	3.15
	2.48	3.12	3.24
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.41	3.08	3.14	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.26)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	3.15 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
39.2%

Draw
30.9%

AEK Athens
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

31.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	14%	18%

Dinamo Zagreb - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 34 - 68%). AEK will win (votes: 9 - 18%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 55.1% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (C) 2. Moharrami S. 13. Ristovski S. 37. Sutalo J. 14. Ljubicic R. 31. Bulat M. 27. Misic J. 77. Spikic D. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 7. Ivanusec L. 9. Petkovic B.	1. Stankovic C. (G) 29. Sidibe D. 21. Vida D. 2. Moukoudi H. 28. Hajsafi E. 6. Jonsson J. 4. Szymanski D. (C) 19. Eliasson N. 10. Zuber S. 13. Pineda O. 7. Garcia L.
Substitutes
10. Baturina M. 6. Bernauer M. 18. Drmic J. 11. Emreli M. 30. Kaneko T. 42. Lukanic L. 20. Marin A. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 55. Peric D. 41. Rukavina G. 25. Sucic P. 4. Sutalo B.	5. Amrabat N. 11. Araujo S. 30. Athanasiadis G. (G) 25. Galanopoulos K. 39. Ginis P. (G) 53. Macheras T. 20. Mantalos P. 24. Mitoglou G. 3. Mohammadi M. 70. Pizarro R. 12. Rota L. 9. van Weert T.
Coaches
Biscan I.	Almeyda M.

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Dinamo Zagreb could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently AEK have a series of guest games.

Dinamo Zagreb will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
05.08.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Astana - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
29.07.23	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Astana	4:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
21.07.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWWL
- AEK Athens
Club Friendly
30.07.23	Trabzonspor - AEK Athens	1:3 ✺
23.07.23	Volos - AEK Athens	0:3 ✺
13.07.23	AEK Athens - Shakhtar Donetsk	5:0 ✺
08.07.23	Royal Antwerp - AEK Athens	0:3 ✺
04.07.23	Lokomotiva Zagreb - AEK Athens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWL

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