The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Royal Pari 58.7%
Draw 21.4%
Independiente Petroleros 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
25.4%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
24.9%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Royal Pari's performance.
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Petroleros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Royal Pari that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Petroleros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Royal Pari - Independiente Petroleros Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Mendez D. (G) 72. Gil S. 23. Quinones Y. 5. Crescencio L. 3. Moriceau T. 8. Moreno A. 7. Thiago 24. Padilla C. 32. Zurita A. 11. Jaquez J. M. 28. Velasco L.
23. Arauz E. (G) 3. Soleto W. 29. Ibars S. 4. Avila R. 33. Gatti F. 50. Vargas D. 8. Quiroga M. 24. Vedia C. 7. Cristaldo J. 11. Godoy J. 10. Thomaz
Substitutes
4. Alvarez E. 17. Bonilla M. 6. Flores D. 20. Isita D. 18. Justiniano S. 30. Orfano E. 1. Pena I. (G) 27. Perez J. 12. Ribera J. 19. Suarez F.
21. Arteaga N. 30. Bejarano A. 25. Castellon D. 5. Diaz E. 19. Medina A. 27. Navarro D. 26. Peterito J. 12. Salvatierra G. (G) 60. Suarez Cespedes Y. A. 22. Valda D.
Coaches
de la Torre D.
Robledo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Padilla C. ↓, Bonilla M. ↑,
34', Thomaz 🟨,
38', Vargas D. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Avila R. ⚽,
45', Quinones Y. 🟨,
45', Godoy J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Crescencio L. ↓, Ribera J. ↑,
46', Velasco L. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
46', Jaquez J. M. ↓, Justiniano S. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Justiniano S. ⚽,
64', Quiroga M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Godoy J. ⚽, Cristaldo J. (A),
72', Moreno A. 🟨,
73', Cristaldo J. ↓, Castellon D. ↑,
79', Soleto W. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
84', Gatti F. 🟨,
86', Ibars S. 🟨,
87', Thomaz ↓, Arteaga N. ↑,
89', Moreno A. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
90+14', Castellon D. 🟨,
90+17', 2 - 2, Ribera J. (Pen),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 2.
Royal Pari is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Independiente Petroleros is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Independiente Petroleros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Royal Pari is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Royal Pari won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.
Watch
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Mendez D. (G) 
Quinones Y. 
Moriceau T. 
Thiago 
Jaquez J. M. 
Godoy J. 
Diaz E. 
de la Torre D. 
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