The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Royal Pari 48.8%
Draw 26.9%
Aurora 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
26.3%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
25.9%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Royal Pari's performance.
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aurora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Royal Pari that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aurora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
57.1%
28.6%
Royal Pari - Aurora Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Royal Pari will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Aurora will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Mendez D. (G) 27. Perez J. 23. Quinones Y. 29. Padilha Hallysson 72. Gil S. 8. Moreno A. 10. Silva B. 7. Thiago 24. Padilla C. 9. Matheus Alves 11. Jaquez J. M.
99. Akologo D. (G) 24. Robles D. 3. Barboza L. 33. Enciso C. 26. Torrico D. 19. Montano G. 6. Sejas C. 10. Torrico J. 28. Vaca O. 18. Reinoso J. 7. Blanco O.
Substitutes
5. Crescencio L. 6. Flores D. 30. Flores J. 18. Justiniano S. 3. Moriceau T. 1. Pena I. (G) 87. Pena S. 12. Ribera J. 32. Zurita A.
21. Ballivian R. 11. Bustamante A. 12. Cardenas L. (G) 27. Flores A. 31. Michelli E. 20. Sanchez A. 77. Serginho 9. Simisterra R. . Taborga J. 69. Terrazas A.
Coaches
de la Torre D.
Orteman S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Sejas C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Jaquez J. M. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
54', Gil S. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
55', Zurita A. 🟨,
67', Moreno A. ↓, Justiniano S. ↑,
67', Silva B. ↓, Ribera J. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Padilha Hallysson ⚽, Padilla C. (A),
71', Vaca O. ↓, Serginho ↑,
72', Blanco O. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
78', Barboza L. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
83', Matheus Alves ↓, Flores D. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Enciso C. ⚽, Serginho (A),
90', Sejas C. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 0.
Royal Pari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Aurora is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Aurora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Royal Pari will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 31-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Royal Pari won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-6.
Bolivia
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Mendez D. (G) 
Quinones Y. 
Padilha Hallysson 
Jaquez J. M. 
Robles D. 
Moriceau T. 
Simisterra R. 
de la Torre D. 
Orteman S. 
