The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Royal Pari 40.5%
Draw 28.8%
Jorge Wilstermann 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
28.4%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
29.5%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Royal Pari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Royal Pari - Jorge Wilstermann Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Mendez D. (G) 72. Gil S. 23. Quinones Y. 29. Padilha Hallysson 17. Bonilla M. 7. Thiago 8. Moreno A. 30. Flores J. 12. Ribera J. 87. Pena S. 9. Matheus Alves
13. Gimenez A. (G) 22. Echeverria S. 6. Chiatti M. 14. Pardo E. 17. Bejarano M. 11. Caceres A. 7. Mamani J. 88. Vargas L. 28. Pacheco A. 8. Bobadilla H. 10. Amaral R.
Substitutes
14. Cadima R. 5. Crescencio L. 20. Isita D. 11. Jaquez J. M. 18. Justiniano S. 24. Padilla C. 1. Pena I. (G) 27. Perez J. 19. Suarez F. 28. Velasco L. 32. Zurita A.
30. Cardozo R. 27. Corrales R. 20. Guillermo A. 9. Jefferson 71. Lopez L. 15. Machado C. 37. Nahuelpan A. 1. Poveda B. (G) 25. Robson 4. Rodriguez F. 23. Tellez M.
Coaches
Leitao T.
Villegas E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vargas L. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
46', Gil S. ↓, Velasco L. ↑,
46', Pena S. ↓, Jaquez J. M. ↑,
56', Moreno A. 🟨,
57', Amaral R. ↓, Nahuelpan A. ↑,
60', Pardo E. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
66', Ribera J. ↓, Isita D. ↑,
66', Moreno A. ↓, Padilla C. ↑,
70', Thiago 🟨,
76', Bonilla M. 🟨,
76', Chiatti M. 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Nahuelpan A. ⚽, Bobadilla H. (A),
79', Jaquez J. M. ↓, Justiniano S. ↑,
80', Pacheco A. ↓, Guillermo A. ↑,
80', Bobadilla H. ↓, Jefferson ↑,
86', Padilha Hallysson 🟨,
90+6', Tellez M. 🟨,
90+9', Flores J. 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 1.
Royal Pari is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Wilstermann is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Wilstermann could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Royal Pari will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Royal Pari won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 22:33 (average 1.1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Royal Pari won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.6:1.4).