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Current Win Probability
Jorge Wilstermann 14.2%
Draw 24.4%
Aurora 61.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
28.3%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
26.5%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jorge Wilstermann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jorge Wilstermann's form might have worsened.
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jorge Wilstermann than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jorge Wilstermann, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-22.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salinas L. (G) 29. Adrian J. 7. Caceres A. 5. Castillo G. 27. Corrales R. 25. Robson 38. Rocabado I. 4. Rodriguez F. 17. Rodriguez L. 14. Tumiri E. 6. Villarroel N.
99. Akologo D. (G) 5. Amarilla A. 21. Ballivian R. 23. Fernandez A. 35. Justiniano G. 8. Ramallo R. 52. Sanchez H. 6. Sejas C. 69. Terrazas A. 3. Vaca O. 15. Viviani L.
Substitutes
34. Ancieta C. 18. Barron A. 10. Chavez C. 31. Delgadillo M. 24. Montano J. 2. Rodriguez L. 28. Soto R. 23. Velasco A. 22. Zenteno J. 33. Zotes S. (G)
14. Aranibar B. 9. Blanco O. 33. Enciso C. 7. Huayhuata I. 55. Michel J. 20. Sanchez A. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 12. Torrico J. 10. Verdun J. 16. Vidaurre I. 29. Wesley
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Terrazas A. ⚽,
7', Tumiri E. 🟨,
10', Tumiri E. 🟥,
35', Amarilla A. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rodriguez F. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
46', Amarilla A. ↓, Torrico D. ↑,
62', Fernandez A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
63', Rocabado I. ↓, Barron A. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Caceres A. ⚽,
71', Terrazas A. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
71', Vaca O. ↓, Torrico J. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Sanchez H. ⚽,
78', Rodriguez L. ↓, Chavez C. ↑,
82', Sanchez H. 🟨,
90', Justiniano G. ↓, Huayhuata I. ↑,
90+5', Adrian J. ↓, Delgadillo M. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 1.
Wilstermann is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aurora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Wilstermann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Aurora is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wilstermann won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Wilstermann won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).
Watch
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Salinas L. (G) 
Caceres A. 
Castillo G. 
Robson 
Sanchez H. 
Terrazas A. 
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