Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Royston Town		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	4.5
	1.6	4.2	4.1
	1.82	4.26	3.49
	1.58	4.25	4.45
	1.66	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.11)	4.1 ↑ (3.9)	4.11 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royston Town
55.5%

Draw
22.3%

Ilkeston
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

23%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

21.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royston Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Royston Town's performance.

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilkeston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Royston Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilkeston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Royston Town - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 15).

Recent matches Royston is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ilkeston is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Royston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.22	Royston Town - Kings Langley	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Redditch United - Royston Town	4:2 ✺
27.09.22	Royston Town - Barwell	2:4 ✺
24.09.22	Rushall Olympic - Royston Town	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Royston Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWL
- Ilkeston FC
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.22	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Coalville Town - Ilkeston	4:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
04.10.22	Ilkeston - St Ives Town	2:3 ✺
27.09.22	Ilkeston - Stratford Town	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	Bedford Town - Ilkeston	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWT

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