Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Rushall Olympic		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.3	2.28
	2.64	3.82	2.21
	2.68	3.85	2.29	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.2
	2.6	3.62	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.3)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	2.24 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rushall Olympic
34.3%

Draw
25.2%

Ilkeston
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rushall Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rushall Olympic's form might have worsened.

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilkeston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rushall Olympic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilkeston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, McAlinden L. ⚽,
55', Ram M. 🟥,
55', Roberts A. 🟥,
90', 2 - 0, Dwyer A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rushall won 3.

Rushall is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ilkeston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rushall won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rushall won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Ilkeston	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7

Last Results with these Odds

Rushall Olympic - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.79%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rushall Olympic
English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Ashton United - Rushall Olympic	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Guiseley	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Prescot Cables - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rushall Olympic - Whitby Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTTT
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
04.04.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Prescot Cables - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Ashton United - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ilkeston - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ilkeston - Hebburn Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	5:1
English Southern League Central Division
25.02.23	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	1:1
11.10.22	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	2:0
English NPL Premier Division
01.11.16	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	0:2
04.10.16	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	1:0
16.04.16	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	4:1
19.01.16	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	2:2

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