Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Royston Town		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	6.3	4.75	1.35
	5.75	4.4	1.43
	7.75	5.38	1.33	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.36
	6.35	5.55	1.37
	5.75	4.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.4 ↑ (5.75)	4.87 ↑ (4.75)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royston Town
14.4%

Draw
18.9%

Spalding United
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

19.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

18.6%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royston Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Spalding United aligns with the current prediction.

Royston Town - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', 0 - 1, Ceesay Y. ⚽,
61', Murray A. 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Pugh T. ⚽,
89', 0 - 3, Akanbi S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Royston is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Spalding is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Royston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Spalding is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Royston won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Royston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.26	Harborough Town - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Royston Town - Bury Town	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Royston Town - Real Bedford	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Leiston - Royston Town	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Royston Town - Quorn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL
- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
14.02.26	Spalding United - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Sudbury Town - Spalding United	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Spalding United - Bishops Stortford	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Spalding United - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Quorn - Spalding United	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.10.25	Spalding United - Royston Town	4:0
25.01.25	Spalding United - Royston Town	0:0
15.10.24	Royston Town - Spalding United	0:3

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