Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Quorn		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.8	1.85
	3.46	4.35	1.82	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.05
	3.54	3.84	1.79
	3.6	3.8	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.8)	3.91 ↑ (3.86)	1.86 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quorn
27.5%

Draw
23.4%

Spalding United
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

24.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

23.4%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quorn's form might have worsened.

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spalding United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spalding United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Quorn - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Beswick R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
48', 1 - 1, (Own goal),
51', 2 - 1, Fenton J. ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, Fenton J. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

In recent matches, Quorn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spalding is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Quorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spalding has had a series of home games.

Spalding might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Quorn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Quorn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quorn
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.26	Stourbridge - Quorn	5:0 ✺
27.12.25	Barwell - Quorn	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Quorn - Worcester City	2:4 ✺
09.12.25	Quorn - Redditch United	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Needham Market - Quorn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLWW
- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
10.01.26	Spalding United - Harborough Town	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Spalding United - Barwell	3:0 ✺
27.12.25	Spalding United - Stamford	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Spalding United - Real Bedford	3:3 ✺
13.12.25	Spalding United - Worcester City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
04.11.25	Spalding United - Quorn	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Quorn - Spalding United	2:0

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