Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Štadión pod Čebraťom (Ružomberok)

Referee: Nuza G. (Kos)


	Ružomberok		Riga

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.87	2.62
	2.8	2.65	2.65	Watch
	3	2.8	2.65
	2.8	2.85	2.65
	2.82	2.88	2.71
	2.8	2.97	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (1.76)	2.84 ↓ (3.57)	2.64 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ružomberok
32.6%

Draw
32.5%

Riga
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

26.1%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

27.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ružomberok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ružomberok's form might have worsened.

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ružomberok than the current prediction. (+22.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ružomberok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.5%	37.5%	20%

Ružomberok - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Ružomberok will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). Riga will win (votes: 8 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ružomberok: 27.2% – 57.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Ružomberok is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Riga is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ružomberok could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ružomberok will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Ružomberok
Slovak Superliga
17.07.22	Skalica - Ružomberok	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.07.22	Kauno Žalgiris - Ružomberok	0:0 ✺
07.07.22	Ružomberok - Kauno Žalgiris	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.22	Ružomberok - GKS Katowice	0:2 ✺
22.06.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Ružomberok	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTWLL
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
17.07.22	Riga - Super Nova	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.07.22	Riga - Derry City	2:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
10.07.22	Riga - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.07.22	Derry City - Riga	0:2 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
01.07.22	Liepāja - Riga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWT

Upcoming Matches