Match Info

Date: 7 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Brandywell Stadium (Derry)

Referee: Thorarinsson V. (Ice)


	Derry City		Riga

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.6	3	2.7
	2.6	3.15	2.5
	2.73	3.14	2.68
	2.66	3.1	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.57)	3.12 ↓ (3.41)	2.62 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derry City
35.2%

Draw
29.6%

Riga
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.7%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

27%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	36.8%	31.6%

Derry City - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Riga will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.1% – 58.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derry City
Irish Premier Division
01.07.22	Bohemians Dublin - Derry City	2:3 ✺
24.06.22	University College Dublin - Derry City	0:1 ✺
17.06.22	Derry City - Drogheda United	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.06.22	Cliftonville - Derry City	1:2 ✺
Irish Premier Division
27.05.22	Derry City - Finn Harps	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWT
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
01.07.22	Liepāja - Riga	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Riga - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
22.06.22	Riga - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
18.06.22	Tukums 2000 - Riga	0:1 ✺
27.05.22	Riga - Rīgas FS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWWW

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