Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Ak Bars Arena (Kazan)

Referee: Anopa A. (Rus)


	Rubin Kazan		Krasnodar 2

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.3	6.2
	1.39	5.09	7.2
	1.39	4.7	7.3	Watch
	1.41	4.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)	4.67 ↑ (4.13)	6.83 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Kazan
66.6%

Draw
19.8%

Krasnodar 2
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

22.3%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

13.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Krasnodar 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rubin Kazan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Rubin Kazan - Krasnodar 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Krasnodar 2 will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rubin: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 14).

Recent matches Rubin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krasnodar 2 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Krasnodar 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rubin is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Kazan
Russian FNL
09.10.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Rubin Kazan	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
05.10.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rubin Kazan	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL
01.10.22	Rubin Kazan - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Shinnik - Rubin Kazan	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Rubin Kazan - Volgar Astrakhan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL
09.10.22	Krasnodar 2 - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Kuban Krasnodar - Krasnodar 2	4:0 ✺
25.09.22	Krasnodar 2 - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Ufa - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	Krasnodar 2 - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLL

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