The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 69.4%
Draw 19%
Rubin Kazan 11.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.4%
24.3%
14.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.5%
21.7%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Spartak Moscow - Rubin Kazan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pomazun I. (G) 19. Daku M. 4. Djiku A. 27. Dmitriev I. 10. Marquinhos 33. Parada V. 25. Prutsev D. 17. Saus V. 40. Sorokin I. 18. Umyarov N. (C) 3. Wooh C.
25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 7. Babaev U. 23. Bezrukov R. 6. Iwu U. 8. Jocic B. 98. Lobov N. 14. Saavedra I. 10. Salcedo E. 71. Samoshnikov I. 2. Teslenko E. (C) 13. Urozov J.
Substitutes
6. Babic S. 5. Barco E. 97. Denisov D. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 68. Litvinov R. 98. Maksimenko A. (G) 24. Massalyga N. 62. Polekh P. 9. Ugalde M. 47. Zobnin R.
12. Arroyo A. 11. Gripshi N. 22. Hodza V. 18. Ignatiev M. 70. Kabutov D. 86. Korets N. (G) 44. Kuznetsov D. 3. Maldonado D. 59. Motorin D. N. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D. 38. Staver E. (G) 5. Vujacic I.
Coaches
Carcedo J. C.
Artiga F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Dmitriev I. ⚽, Umyarov N. (A),
44', Babaev U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sorokin I. ↓, Litvinov R. ↑,
46', Iwu U. ↓, Hodza V. ↑,
46', Urozov J. ↓, Vujacic I. ↑,
60', Salcedo E. ↓, Motorin D. N. ↑,
62', Bezrukov R. ↓, Kabutov D. ↑,
67', Saus V. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
67', Umyarov N. ↓, Massalyga N. ↑,
67', Marquinhos ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
78', Dmitriev I. ↓, Polekh P. ↑,
79', Saavedra I. ↓, Gripshi N. ↑,
84', Djiku A. 🟨,
85', Vujacic I. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 3.
Spartak M is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rubin has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Spartak M may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Spartak M enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Spartak M has recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:15 (averaging 1.6:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak M against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.6 per game).
Argentina
Belarus
Ecuador
Russia
South America
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Pomazun I. (G) 
Daku M. 
Djiku A. 
Marquinhos 
Parada V. 
Wooh C. 
Iwu U. 
Jocic B. 
Saavedra I. 
Salcedo E. 
Urozov J. 
Barco E. 
Ugalde M. 
Arroyo A. 
Hodza V. 
Maldonado D. 
Vujacic I. 
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