Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)

Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)


	Shinnik		Rubin Kazan

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.55	1.86
	3.85	3.82	1.84
	3.92	3.72	1.83	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (5.05)	3.67 ↑ (3.53)	1.85 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
25.3%

Draw
25%

Rubin Kazan
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

26.8%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

26.4%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shinnik's performance.

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shinnik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shinnik - Rubin Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent matches Shinnik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rubin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rubin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
18.09.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Shinnik - Kuban Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Shinnik - Ufa	3:0 ✺
21.08.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLWL
- Rubin Kazan
Russian FNL
18.09.22	Rubin Kazan - Volgar Astrakhan	3:2 ✺
11.09.22	Veles Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Rubin Kazan - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:2 ✺
28.08.22	Rubin Kazan - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rubin Kazan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTTW

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