Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 24

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

Referee: Musial T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Ruch Chorzów		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	2.2	3.35	3.15	Watch
	2.21	3.33	3.31
	2.14	3.37	3.31	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.19	3.37	3.16	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	3.16 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruch Chorzów
42.7%

Draw
28%

Wisła Płock
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Turk M. (G) 16. Tsykalo Y. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 17. Lukic A. 38. Karasinski S. 25. Ventura D. 27. Szwoch M. 7. Kozak M. 24. Baranski B. 23. Mezghrani M. 95. Szczepan D.	99. Gradecki B. (C) 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 19. Edmundsson A. 5. Nastic B. 7. Barnowski D. 14. Kun D. 25. Mijuskovic N. 8. Pacheco D. 21. Brzozowski M. 18. Jimenez J. 66. Salvador I.
Substitutes
80. Adkonis J. 28. Borowski F. 13. Moneta L. 86. Novothny S. . Preisler D. 21. Sadlok M. 30. Sobeczko J. 10. Starzynski F. 1. Szymanski J. (G)	10. Al Hamawi A. 30. Bosnjak D. 2. Custovic K. 16. Hiszpanski F. 26. Klon O. (G) 41. Lejman J. 6. Pomorski K. 20. Sekulski L. 77. Szymanski J.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Nastic B. 🟨,
40', Mijuskovic N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Salvador I. ↓, Al Hamawi A. ↑,
68', Baranski B. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
75', Barnowski D. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
75', Jimenez J. ↓, Sekulski L. ↑,
78', Kozak M. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
78', Karasinski S. ↓, Preisler D. ↑,
83', Kun D. ↓, Bosnjak D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Ruch Chorzów is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wisła Płock is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wisła Płock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ruch Chorzów have a series of home games.

Ruch Chorzów will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 2:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ruch Chorzów won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
08.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
03.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
25.02.25	Ruch Chorzów - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.02.25	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Kraków	0:5 ✺
17.02.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLT
- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
10.03.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	Wisła Płock - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Chrobry Głogów - Wisła Płock	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.25	Wisła Płock - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
26.08.24	Wisła Płock - Ruch Chorzów	3:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.04.17	Wisła Płock - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
10.12.16	Wisła Płock - Ruch Chorzów	4:3
08.08.16	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Płock	2:2

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