Match Info

HNL - Round 8

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: SC Rudes (Zagreb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Rudeš		Slaven Belupo

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.40	1.95
	3.50	3.40	2.00
	3.3	3.35	2.05
	3.67	3.8	2.07
	3.42	3.61	2.02	Watch
	3.5	3.75	1.96
	3.28	3.62	2.01	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.62)	3.54 ↓ (3.67)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rudeš
27.4%

Draw
26.3%

Slaven Belupo
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

25.5%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

25.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rudeš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rudeš than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rudeš - Slaven Belupo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rudeš will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rudeš: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rudeš (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Rogic L. (C) 44. Taraba F. 42. Zebic M. 5. Stolnik M. 2. Unusic B. 37. Skoko N. 24. Djoric I. 28. Xavi 61. Diabate C. 88. El Haddad S. 19. Saho C.	32. Covic I. (G) 15. Mersinaj J. 6. Bozic T. (C) 4. Kovacic D. 3. Jakir A. 24. Bosnjak L. 22. Adeshina A. 8. Banovec L. 88. Bosak D. 11. Mitrovic J. 7. Dabro M.
Substitutes
35. Bralic J. 4. Celjak V. 32. Duvnjak S. (G) 78. Fernandes J. 7. Ilecic L. 14. Kolega T. 34. Lovric K. 33. Pejic J. 11. Poldrugac J. 10. Seitz V. 26. Zutic I.	21. Crepulja L. 5. Cvetko I. 33. Isasegi K. 23. Jonsson A. 90. Nestorovski I. 45. Papac V. 20. Petrovic M. 14. Ratshukudu L. 30. Sentic K. (G) 77. Urata I.
Coaches
Peternac A.	Cabraja S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Bosnjak L. 🟨,
27', Djoric I. 🟨,
43', Saho C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Diabate C. ↓, Ilecic L. ↑,
46', Banovec L. ↓, Nestorovski I. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, El Haddad S. ⚽,
58', Peternac A. 🟨,
59', Bosak D. ↓, Crepulja L. ↑,
61', Stolnik M. 🟥,
63', Djoric I. ↓, Celjak V. ↑,
64', Mersinaj J. ↓, Isasegi K. ↑,
68', Saho C. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
71', Bosnjak L. ↓, Ratshukudu L. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Nestorovski I. (Penalty Awarded),
79', 1 - 2, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Jakir A. (A),
83', Xavi ↓, Seitz V. ↑,
84', El Haddad S. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
89', Unusic B. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Zebic M. ⚽, Taraba F. (A),
90+5', Kolega T. 🟨,
90+5', Fernandes J. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 9th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rudeš won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Slaven Belupo holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Slaven Belupo: Caimacov M. (Hip Injury) Loncar L. (Inactive) Mazar F. (Red Card) Medjimorec V. (Inactive) Zahora L. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Rudeš: Vukic S. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Slaven Belupo: Zuta L. (Knee Injury).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Rudeš has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:33 (averaging 1.1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rudeš against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:8 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7
9	Rudes	9	2	1	6	12:25	-13	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Rudeš
Croatian HNL
13.09.26	Istra 1961 - Rudeš	3:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Koprivnica - Rudeš	2:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
06.09.26	Rudeš - Hajduk Split	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	Varaždin - Rudeš	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Rudeš - Lokomotiva Zagreb	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLLW
- NK Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL
13.09.26	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	1:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Slaven Belupo	0:5 ✺
Croatian HNL
06.09.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Slaven Belupo - Gorica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.25	Slaven Belupo - Rudeš	4:2
Croatian HNL
12.04.24	Rudeš - Slaven Belupo	1:3
03.02.24	Slaven Belupo - Rudeš	4:0
Croatian Cup
31.10.23	Rudeš - Slaven Belupo	3:1
Croatian HNL
20.10.23	Rudeš - Slaven Belupo	0:0
05.08.23	Slaven Belupo - Rudeš	3:2
Croatian Cup
28.02.23	Slaven Belupo - Rudeš	2:0

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