Match Info

HNL - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek)

Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Osijek		Slaven Belupo

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.80	4.75
	1.58	4.10	5.00
	1.54	3.70	4.80
	1.61	4.05	5.95
	1.56	4.05	5.65	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5.90
	1.64	4.06	5.08	Watch
	1.55	4.00	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	3.94 ↑ (3.8)	5.25 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Osijek
58.9%

Draw
23.5%

Slaven Belupo
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Osijek - Slaven Belupo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Osijek will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Malenica M. (C) 2. Heister M. 49. Kolarik I. 26. Jelenic L. 22. Jurisic R. 23. Vrbancic L. 48. Jezic J. 39. Bukvic D. 7. Dolcek I. 11. Omerovic N. 79. Leon A.	30. Sentic K. (G) 18. Kruselj F. 4. Kovacic D. 5. Cvetko I. 33. Isasegi K. 88. Bosak D. 21. Crepulja L. (C) 11. Mitrovic J. 24. Bosnjak L. 8. Banovec L. 90. Nestorovski I.
Substitutes
67. Bakti B. 99. Balelo 46. Baric I. 13. Caic V. 1. Curcija N. (G) 18. Farkas N. 33. Hasic E. 47. Kalem D. 57. Ljatifi A. 8. Mikolcic S. 16. Petrusenko O. 24. Posavec L.	22. Adeshina A. 6. Bozic T. 7. Dabro M. 27. Grgic A. 23. Jonsson A. 1. Kolar T. (G) 17. Mazar F. 77. Urata I.
Coaches
Bessone F.	Gregurina M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Jezic J. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Omerovic N. ⚽, Heister M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Banovec L. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Jezic J. ⚽,
59', Nestorovski I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
60', Bosnjak L. ↓, Adeshina A. ↑,
61', Omerovic N. ↓, Ljatifi A. ↑,
61', Jezic J. ↓, Bakti B. ↑,
70', Jurisic R. ↓, Kalem D. ↑,
71', Dolcek I. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
72', Bosak D. ↓, Jonsson A. ↑,
79', Adeshina A. 🟨,
83', Mitrovic J. ↓, Bozic T. ↑,
83', Heister M. ↓, Posavec L. ↑,
85', Gregurina M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Osijek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Osijek is the team to beat.

There will not play in Osijek: Caic V. (Inactive) Matkovic A. (Knee Injury) Mejia Moscoso D. M. (Knee Injury) Mustafic S. (Red Card) Shopov S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Caimacov M. (Hip Injury) Jakir A. (Injury) Medjimorec V. (Inactive) Zuta L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Urata I. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:14. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 1.9:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	4	16
8	Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
23.08.26	Hajduk Split - Osijek	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rudeš - Osijek	1:6 ✺
01.08.26	Gorica - Osijek	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Osijek - Çaykur Rizespor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL
- NK Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL
22.08.26	Slaven Belupo - Gorica	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Slaven Belupo - Varaždin	1:4 ✺
31.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Sesvete	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
22.05.26	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	2:0
22.03.26	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	0:0
20.12.25	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	0:0
04.10.25	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	2:1
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	4:0
Croatian HNL
04.05.25	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	1:4
Croatian Cup
02.04.25	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	1:0 penalties

Upcoming Matches