Match Info

HNL - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion Ivan Kusek Apas (Koprivnica)

Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Slaven Belupo		Gorica

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.45
	2.70	3.30	2.50
	2.72	3.25	2.42
	2.72	3.45	2.58
	2.65	3.39	2.56	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.5
	2.64	3.34	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.74)	3.3 ↓ (3.3)	2.5 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slaven Belupo
34.8%

Draw
28.1%

Gorica
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.6%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Slaven Belupo - Gorica Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Sentic K. (G) 18. Kruselj F. 4. Kovacic D. 5. Cvetko I. 33. Isasegi K. 24. Bosnjak L. 21. Crepulja L. (C) 11. Mitrovic J. 88. Bosak D. 8. Banovec L. 90. Nestorovski I.	71. Matijas D. (G) 45. Peric S. 32. Filipovic J. (C) 34. Cvijanovic I. 2. Braut F. 36. Kavelj A. 66. Frigan J. 25. Bogojevic B. 8. Pranjic J. 24. Pavicic D. 9. Mijic P.
Substitutes
22. Adeshina A. 13. Bilobrk A. 6. Bozic T. 32. Covic I. (G) 7. Dabro M. 16. Geci L. 27. Grgic A. 23. Jonsson A. 45. Papac V. 12. Pavli M. (G)	7. Bakic O. 26. Carole K. 4. Custovic K. 99. Gashi M. 1. Josipovic R. (G) 18. Kardum B. 14. Kucis S. 67. Prgomet T. 15. Stevanovic D. 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G)
Coaches
Gregurina M.	Carevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Nestorovski I. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Mitrovic J. ⚽, Isasegi K. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Bosak D. (A),
22', Carevic M. 🟥,
27', Crepulja L. 🟨,
36', Kavelj A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Braut F. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
60', Frigan J. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
60', Filipovic J. ↓, Stevanovic D. ↑,
60', Bosnjak L. ↓, Adeshina A. ↑,
60', Mijic P. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
61', Banovec L. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
67', Nestorovski I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
84', Pranjic J. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
90+1', Bosak D. ↓, Jonsson A. ↑,
90+1', Kovacic D. ↓, Bozic T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 3.

Slaven Belupo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gorica has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic T. (Inactive) Caimacov M. (Hip Injury) Jakir A. (Injury) Kutlesa F. (Red Card) Zuta L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Gorica: Erceg A. (Inactive) Sule W. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Urata I. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:19. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7
10	Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL
15.08.26	Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Slaven Belupo - Varaždin	1:4 ✺
31.07.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Sesvete	4:0 ✺
21.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLLWT
- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
16.08.26	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Gorica - Osijek	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.26	Gorica - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	St. Pauli - Gorica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
10.05.26	Slaven Belupo - Gorica	1:0
07.03.26	Gorica - Slaven Belupo	2:2
05.12.25	Slaven Belupo - Gorica	2:1
21.09.25	Gorica - Slaven Belupo	2:1
18.05.25	Slaven Belupo - Gorica	4:0
14.03.25	Gorica - Slaven Belupo	0:3
Croatian Cup
05.03.25	Slaven Belupo - Gorica	3:1 ET

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