Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Rushall Olympic		Workington

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.45	3.15
	1.93	3.8	3.28
	1.69	4.05	4.20	Watch
	1.96	3.48	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.69)	3.7 ↓ (4.05)	3.48 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rushall Olympic
48.7%

Draw
24.9%

Workington
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

22.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

22.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rushall Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rushall Olympic's form might have worsened.

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rushall Olympic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Rushall Olympic - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Rigg S. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Ryley K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, Moore A. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Clayton-Phillips N. ⚽,
60', 3 - 2, ⚽,
74', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rushall won 1.

Rushall is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Workington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Workington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rushall has had a series of away games.

Rushall will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rushall won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rushall won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rushall Olympic
English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Prescot Cables	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Whitby Town - Rushall Olympic	3:1 ✺
21.10.25	United of Manchester - Rushall Olympic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLL
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Workington - Hyde United	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Workington	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Morpeth Town - Workington	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Workington - United of Manchester	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
17.02.18	Rushall Olympic - Workington	1:0
18.11.17	Workington - Rushall Olympic	4:1
07.01.17	Workington - Rushall Olympic	2:0
13.08.16	Rushall Olympic - Workington	1:2
07.04.16	Workington - Rushall Olympic	1:1
05.09.15	Rushall Olympic - Workington	1:1
17.01.15	Workington - Rushall Olympic	3:2

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