Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Stocksbridge Park Steels		Workington

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.65	3.45
	1.94	3.94	3.26	Watch
	1.81	3.62	3.69
	1.78	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.97)	3.75 ↓ (3.8)	3.54 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksbridge Park Steels
49.8%

Draw
24.4%

Workington
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

24.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

23.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Stocksbridge Park Steels - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Stocksbridge is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Workington is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Workington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Stocksbridge has had a series of away games.

Stocksbridge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Stocksbridge will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Hyde United - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.25	Hyde United - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Prescot Cables - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Silsden - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWWW
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
21.10.25	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Morpeth Town - Workington	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Workington - United of Manchester	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Ilkeston - Workington	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Workington - Prescot Cables	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

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