Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 6

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.83
	3.66	4.02	1.84
	3	3.75	1.95
	3.6	3.56	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.18)	3.73 ↑ (3.45)	1.87 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
26.9%

Draw
24.4%

Alvechurch
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

25.6%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Hitchin Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Sweeney D. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 3.

Hitchin has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alvechurch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alvechurch will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Alvechurch to win the game is with odds 1.91.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
26.08.24	Barwell - Hitchin Town	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:3 ✺
17.08.24	AFC Telford United - Hitchin Town	5:4 ✺
13.08.24	Stamford - Hitchin Town	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Hitchin Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
26.08.24	Alvechurch - Banbury United	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Royston Town - Alvechurch	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Alvechurch - Biggleswade Town	2:1 ✺
13.08.24	Alvechurch - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Bishops Stortford - Alvechurch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.01.24	Alvechurch - Hitchin Town	2:1
05.08.23	Hitchin Town - Alvechurch	2:0
15.04.23	Alvechurch - Hitchin Town	1:3
12.11.22	Hitchin Town - Alvechurch	2:1
26.03.22	Alvechurch - Hitchin Town	0:0
20.11.21	Hitchin Town - Alvechurch	0:1
19.09.20	Hitchin Town - Alvechurch	5:1

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