The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ryūkyū 23.1%
Draw 26.9%
Renofa Yamaguchi 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
26.2%
48.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
24.8%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sato H. (G) 27. Funabashi Y. 3. Kikuchi S. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 46. Ikeda R. 16. Ihori K. 7. Motegi S. 11. Ishiura T. 89. Takagi D. 26. Jennings C.
41. Iida M. (G) 5. Yoshioka K. 3. Oiwa K. 2. Ozawa R. 36. Nishido H. 40. Naruoka H. 6. Wakasa Y. 17. Tanabe K. 19. Yamamoto S. 7. Misawa N. 34. Furukawa D.
Substitutes
35. Chiba K. 8. Horiuchi H. 25. Horiuchi Y. 22. Kamiya K. 17. Kato Y. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 19. Sato M. 6. Shigema K. 18. Ueno Y.
21. Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 98. Firmino A. 25. Fujimori S. 11. Fujioka K. 28. Kobayashi S. 49. Mineda Y. 4. Nakashima K. 14. Shimodo R. 20. Suenaga T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, Ishiura T. ⚽,
50', 1 - 1, Furukawa D. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Yamamoto S. ↓, Fujioka K. ↑,
62', Jennings C. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
72', Furukawa D. ↓, Nakashima K. ↑,
72', Misawa N. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
77', Ikeda R. ↓, Horiuchi H. ↑,
77', Motegi S. ↓, Kato Y. ↑,
84', Takagi D. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
84', Ishiura T. ↓, Horiuchi Y. ↑,
85', Nishido H. ↓, Suenaga T. ↑,
85', Tanabe K. ↓, Fujimori S. ↑,
86', Fujioka K. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Sato M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Nakashima K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kikuchi S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Wakasa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ueno Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Fujioka K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Horiuchi H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Suenaga T. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ihori K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kobayashi S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 3.
Ryūkyū is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Renofa Yamaguchi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Renofa Yamaguchi might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
China
Japan
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Sato H. (G) 
Jennings C. 
Choi Hyung-Chan (G) 
Firmino A. 
