Match Info

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Ryūkyū		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.37
	2.75	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.87	3.25	2.58
	2.87	3.05	2.58
	2.62	3.2	2.3
	2.75	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.4)	3.14 ↑ (3)	2.43 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
33.4%

Draw
29.1%

Kataller Toyama
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

30%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.4%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kataller Toyama's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rokutan Y. (G) 3. Mori Y. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 18. Hiramatsu S. 22. Uehara M. 6. Okazawa K. 24. Sato Y. 19. Takayasu T. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 7. Shirai H.	42. Hirao T. (G) 20. Oyama M. 2. Wakimoto K. 4. Kamiyama K. 23. Nishiya S. 8. Matsuoka D. 24. Kawai Y. 16. Sueki H. 27. Yoshihira T. 10. Leiria Dos Santos M. 11. Matsumoto K.
Substitutes
15. Araki R. 35. Higashi J. (G) 39. Ihara A. 55. Koki Y. 17. Masutani K. 9. Noda R. 89. Takagi D.	18. Ito T. 14. Shimodo R. 1. Tagawa T. (G) 33. Takahashi Y. 17. Tsubokawa H. 9. Usui S. 25. Yasumitsu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Yoshihira T. ⚽,
29', Sueki H. 🟨,
44', Nishiya S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Tomidokoro Y. ⚽,
53', Sueki H. 🟨,
56', Hirao T. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Takayasu T. ⚽, Shirai H. (A),
72', 3 - 1, Shirai H. (Pen),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
24.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Ryūkyū - YSCC	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Sagamihara - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Ryūkyū - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.03.24	Ryūkyū - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTWT
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
24.03.24	Fukushima United - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
20.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
09.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
04.11.23	Ryūkyū - Kataller Toyama	1:3
15.07.23	Kataller Toyama - Ryūkyū	1:0

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