Match Info

J3 League - Round 34

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ryūkyū		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
	4.85	3.95	1.52	Watch
	5.02	4.27	1.55	Watch
	4.88	4.21	1.59	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↓ (5.02)	4.05 ↓ (4.27)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
20.1%

Draw
22.8%

Tochigi City
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

21.7%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ryūkyū - Tochigi City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Ryūkyū (4.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tochigi City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ryūkyū (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sato H. (G) 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 11. Ishiura T. 18. Hiramatsu S. 7. Motegi S. 23. Sota K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 9. Asakawa H.	31. Aizawa P. (G) 5. Okui R. 42. Jonjic M. 28. Konishi K. 15. Sato Y. 10. Okaniwa Y. 16. Kato J. 8. Mori T. 39. Vasquez B. 9. Tokura K. 77. Tanaka P. J.
Substitutes
17. Einaga T. 39. Ihara A. 13. Iwamoto S. 5. Kamiya K. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 58. Shigema K. 89. Takagi D. 47. Wade M. 22. Yamato Y.	1. Harada Y. (G) 33. Inui T. 13. Oshima T. 79. Saito K. 14. Sekino G. 22. Suzuki H. 40. Suzuki K. 90. Utaka P. 23. Yoshida A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Tokura K. ⚽, Mori T. (A),
25', Motegi S. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Araki R. ⚽, Motegi S. (A),
35', Suzuki J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Mori T. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
62', Tokura K. ↓, Sekino G. ↑,
71', Okui R. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
71', Kato J. ↓, Utaka P. ↑,
74', Ishiura T. ↓, Iwamoto S. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Asakawa H. ⚽, Araki R. (A),
79', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
82', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
82', Motegi S. ↓, Kamiya K. ↑,
87', Asakawa H. ↓, Ihara A. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Suzuki K. ⚽, Suzuki H. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Ryūkyū is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tochigi City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Tochigi City is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ryūkyū won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
25.10.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ryūkyū - Kochi United	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	Osaka - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ryūkyū - Nara Club	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ryūkyū	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
25.10.25	Tochigi City - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Tochigi City	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Tochigi City - Nara Club	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Kagoshima United - Tochigi City	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Tochigi City - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
05.07.25	Tochigi City - Ryūkyū	3:2

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