Match Info

J3 League - Round 32

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.4
	3.12	3.45	2.24
	2.90	3.42	2.28	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.69)	3.28 ↑ (3.18)	2.34 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
32.7%

Draw
28%

Tochigi City
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

28.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Tochigi City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Lee Chung-won (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 28. Manabe H. 39. Shimokawa Y. 20. Ano M. 50. Yasuda K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 47. Okumura K. 11. Hashimoto K. 58. Take H.	31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 28. Konishi K. 15. Sato Y. 16. Kato J. 8. Mori T. 14. Sekino G. 39. Vasquez B. 90. Utaka P. 77. Tanaka P. J.
Substitutes
35. Egawa G. 10. Inoue R. 34. Kawai T. 42. Matsumoto K. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 41. Sakai S. 4. Sakurai F. 45. Tanaka S. 18. Yoshizawa S.	1. Harada Y. (G) 99. Hiraoka M. 33. Inui T. 10. Okaniwa Y. 11. Omotehara G. 13. Oshima T. 40. Suzuki K. 9. Tokura K. 23. Yoshida A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Manabe H. 🟨,
24', Utaka P. ↓, Hiraoka M. ↑,
27', Sekino G. 🟨,
45', Konishi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hiraoka M. ↓, Tokura K. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Hashimoto K. ⚽, Shimokawa Y. (A),
66', Kato J. ↓, Okaniwa Y. ↑,
72', Shimokawa Y. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Mori T. ⚽, Tokura K. (A),
79', Ano M. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
79', Hashimoto K. ↓, Yoshizawa S. ↑,
84', Sekino G. ↓, Omotehara G. ↑,
84', Jonjic M. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
89', Okumura K. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
89', Take H. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Recent performances by Tegevajaro Miyazaki have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tochigi City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tochigi City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
05.10.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:5 ✺
27.09.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ryūkyū	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Kagoshima United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Tochigi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
11.10.25	Tochigi City - Nara Club	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Kagoshima United - Tochigi City	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Tochigi City - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Tochigi City - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
15.09.25	Osaka - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.03.25	Tochigi City - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:2

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