Match Info

J3 League - Round 29

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi City		Gainare Tottori

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.15	5.3
	1.51	4.26	5.85
	1.77	3.58	4.31	Watch
	1.47	4.1	5.74	Watch
	1.43	4.35	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.41)	4.09 ↓ (4.25)	5.46 ↓ (6.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
60.4%

Draw
22.6%

Gainare Tottori
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.3%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.3%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Tochigi City - Gainare Tottori Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Aizawa P. (G) 5. Okui R. 42. Jonjic M. 28. Konishi K. 15. Sato Y. 10. Okaniwa Y. 16. Kato J. 8. Mori T. 39. Vasquez B. 90. Utaka P. 77. Tanaka P. J.	31. Koma R. (G) 55. Oshima H. 3. Nagano S. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 11. Tojo A. 34. Soga D. 7. Ozawa H. 19. Miki N. 14. Fukoin M. 10. Togashi Y.
Substitutes
1. Harada Y. (G) 99. Hiraoka M. 33. Inui T. 13. Oshima T. 14. Sekino G. 22. Suzuki H. 40. Suzuki K. 9. Tokura K. 23. Yoshida A.	18. Handa K. 77. Hashimoto S. 42. Kaneura M. 17. Matsumoto T. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 13. Shimizu Y. 9. Tanada R. 8. Tanaka K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Utaka P. ⚽, Kato Jo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Tanaka P. J. 🟨,
55', Miki N. ↓, Shimizu Y. ↑,
66', Maruyama S. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
66', Soga D. ↓, Kaneura M. ↑,
76', Okaniwa Y. ↓, Sekino G. ↑,
76', Okui R. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
76', Sato Y. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
80', Togashi Y. ↓, Handa K. ↑,
80', Tojo A. ↓, Tanada R. ↑,
82', Utaka P. ↓, Hiraoka M. ↑,
82', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
86', Hiraoka M. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Tochigi City is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tochigi City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
20.09.25	Tochigi City - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
15.09.25	Osaka - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Tochigi City - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Tochigi City	4:5 ✺
23.08.25	Tochigi City - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
20.09.25	Gainare Tottori - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Gainare Tottori - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gainare Tottori	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Gainare Tottori - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
31.05.25	Gainare Tottori - Tochigi City	1:0

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