Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 5

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Ríver PI

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	6.25
	1.45	4.2	6	Watch
	1.47	4	6.68
	1.47	4	6.68
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.43	4.1	6.52	Watch
	1.44	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	4.09 ↑ (3.86)	6.36 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
63.2%

Draw
22.4%

Ríver PI
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

23.6%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.8%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Ríver PI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ríver PI than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 2. Arnaldo 35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 36. Diego Matos 43. Guilherme Matos 7. Julio Cesar 30. Lorran 8. Marco Antonio 20. Patrick Allan 9. Paulo Sergio 4. Rafael Vaz	1. Joanderson (G) 20. Crislan 5. Darlan 7. Doda 8. Escuro 10. Felipe Para 6. Izaldo 4. Leandro Amaro (C) 3. Lucas Mingoti 11. Ronald Bele 2. Vivico
Substitutes
18. Danilo Belao 10. Evandro 11. Fernandinho 22. Jeferson Romario (G) 27. Kaua Maranhao 28. Luan 6. Luiz Paulo 33. Marcos Junior 96. Matheus Santos 37. Robson Reis 77. Vanegas R. 26. Wendel Lessa	16. Caique Valdivia 14. Coelho N. M. 12. Heitor (G) 15. Iago Felipe 13. Josue 9. Ju 17. Rodrigo Fumaca

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ríver PI could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ríver PI have a series of home games.

In this match Náutico is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Náutico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.03.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.02.24	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.02.24	Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTLT
- Ríver PI
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.24	Ríver PI - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Ríver PI - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
17.02.24	Ríver PI - 4 de Julho	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Fortaleza - Ríver PI	3:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ríver PI - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.01.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Ríver PI	1:1

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