Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)


	ABC		Brusque

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.55	2.95	2.95	Watch
	2.67	2.83	2.92
	2.67	2.6	2.92
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.56	3	2.89
	2.5	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.44)	2.9 ↓ (3.25)	2.85 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
36.2%

Draw
31.7%

Brusque
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

ABC - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches ABC is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brusque is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

ABC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
09.03.24	ABC - Potyguar Seridoense	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.24	ABC - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
03.03.24	América RN - ABC	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.24	Ceará - ABC	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
24.02.24	ABC - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTLTW
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.03.24	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Brusque - Náutico Marcílio Dias	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Brusque	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
24.02.24	Avaí - Brusque	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Brusque - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWWT

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